Jobs, Unemployment and Wages; The Government, and who was Ed Mintz?

Jobs Up, Unemployment Up.

  • 275,000 new jobs were added in February.  What were the expectations?  198,000. 

    • We have got to get people that can make better guesses.

  • Unemployment went up to 3.9%, and the increase in hourly wages slowed ever so slightly.

  •  As it turns out, good Good News all around. 

    • Jobs were up – good for everyone, but it shows the Fed things have not slowed down.

    • Unemployment is up, but only to 3.9%.  This shows the Fed that the economy is cooling.

    • Hourly wages increased at a decreasing rate, a 0.1% monthly increase, also showing a cooling economy (perhaps) but still going up.

  • In summary, the economy is still doing pretty well, but there are some signs that may—repeat ‘may’—show the Fed that the economy is cooling off.

  • This would lead to the Fed dropping its rates, probably in June, which Wall Street likes.

  • When rates go down, stocks generally go up for two main reasons:

    • Cost of credit drops which helps the bottom line of borrowers

    • Stocks become more competitive with financial products (CDs, government bonds) and more people may buy stocks.  That drives the market up.

  • And that’s good for your 401k. 

Government Shutdown?  Not!

  • What does it take to keep the government running?  $460,000,000,000.

    • At least until the end of the fiscal year, only for a few select departments.  Six more departments need to get funded in the next two weeks, including the defense department. 

      • That’ll be a big number.

  • So, when does the fiscal year end for the federal government?  September 30.

  • More trivia questions from USA Facts:

    • What is the Federal government’s annual budget?  $6,200,000,000,000

    • How much do they collect in taxes? $4,500,000,000,000.

  • Yep, that’s the $1.8 trillion missing piece of the puzzle.

  • So, let’s put this in perspective.

    • Let’s say your annual income is $100,000.

    • If you functioned like the federal government, your annual spend would be $137,780.

    • Where would you get the money?  Well, if you lived in California, probably your home equity, but at some point, you’d hit a limit.

      • And California would probably figure out a way to tax a cash-out refinance of your home equity.

    • In other words, you couldn’t do it, unless you had some very rich parents.

      • Or family members that would continue to bail you out.

  • It just doesn’t seem too sustainable, does it? 

Ed Mintz, Entrepreneur

  • Entrepreneur:  You are either an entrepreneur or you are not.

    • There’s not a lot in between.

  • He was born in Milwaukee in 1940 and raised by his grandmother.

  • As a teen, he wrote a book about square roots called “The Mintz Method of Extraction of Roots”.

    • Who does that in high school?  Not me, but it must have worked because he met his wife in high school and they eventually eloped.

  • Later in life, he would teach math tricks to his three kids and grandkids.  Sounds like a dad thing.

  • After getting a bachelor’s degree in mathematics, he moved to L.A. and started a company that provided billing software to the dental industry.  Among other ventures.

  • One night in 1978, he went to see Neil Simon’s “The Cheap Detective” on opening night in Westwood, California.  He had read a glowing review of the film but, upon exiting, exclaimed to his wife, “What a piece of garbage!”.

    • This was his opportunity and he had full spousal support.

  • He was a math whiz, computer programmer, and serial entrepreneur.  Instead of relying on a movie critic, what if he could give viewers a letter grade to what a few hundred people who saw the movie thought?

    • And CinemaScore was born.  This was before Siskel & Ebert (look it up) and before the internet, social media, and Rotten Tomatoes.

  • Initially, Pollsters stood outside theaters in Westwood handing out cards to people on the way in to see a movie on its opening night.  As patrons exited the theatre, they collected the cards, went by a local fast-food restaurant, and spread out the cards to tabulate the results.

    • Since he collected demographic information, the data he gathered was valuable to the movie studios and something they used to market the movie.

  • Ed Mintz passed away last month at the age of 83.

    • Proof for Mintz that he had built CinemaScore into a mega-brand came in 2018 when he met Dwayne Johnson, who called him “an icon,” according to family members. That made Mintz’s day.

  • For an entrepreneur, that’s everything.

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